It’s no secret that most football teams served at their own game in front of crowds of loyal fans better performance. You know it, I know it. And if we know that we can be sure that bookmakers know it too.
Home court advantage is the foundation on which nearly all offices are starting to build their courses. It is important to understand that the bookmaker is trying to set a course so that the most balanced and achieved the highest turnover. Therefore, does not try to predict how the match goes. Balancing action minimizes the risk bookmaker bookmakers. In industry, this step says “achieve parity”.
Premier League since its inception accommodate 40 different clubs, but only seven have survived highest competition after 16 straight seasons. Through these clubs looking at the home court advantage a little bit closer.
There is a fairly simple formula by which we can calculate the value of the home turf:
home court advantage = (domestic Goals Scored – Home Goals)/number of games played
For example, during the 2007/2008 season he scored Liverpool on home turf, while 43 goals, 13 were received, giving us 30 goals divided by net 19 matches, ie: (43-13)/19 = 1.58.
The table below shows the calculated value of home court advantage with seven teams, of which we mentioned above.
Theory strategy of betting on football tells us that the value in betting on the home team we should find where Asian handicap smaller than their home court advantage. Furthermore, we should find value where Asian handicap for the visiting team exceeds the value of their home court advantage.
There are several other factors that should affect the calculation of home court advantage. These factors would obviously bettor should also be taken into account. Options that can be taken into account are endless, but they would always lead to cash neshrábly bookmakers, but you alone. Here are some tips to make it in the endless parade of lost information:
Domestic fan base: A study in 5000 examining the Premier League in 1992-2006 showed that for every 10,000 match visitors will increase the final outcome rating of 0.1 goals.
Bad news and injury: It is always important to be informed about the latest news team and injuries. It is not uncommon that players get injured even when warming up before the match. Before the game also check the condition of the weather, which can affect primarily the total number of goals that seemed to fit. Conditions that reduce the total number of scoring in a match while reducing the value of home court advantage of each of the teams.
Rivalry and other extended specifications games: Match eternal rivals always attracts more visitors than matches against other teams. This ultimately also home court advantage greatly influences. And at the same time, be sure to advise on any other unique situations and club specifics that would further the intensity of the game to sharpen.
So, you see, because of home court advantage has anyone even ignorant punter opportunity to easily find a convenient course, which will greatly benefit the long term. It just takes a little diligence and perseverance.